[2019-05] Sink or swim together?: the diffusion of death among allied terrorist groups
Choi, Hyeseung Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, KAIST
Yang, Jae-Suk Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, KAIST
Abstract: Interdependencies among allied terrorist groups make an action taken by a terrorist group to influence the allied partner. While many previous studies focus on the spread of terrorist groups, we focus on the diffusion of death among allied terrorist groups from 2001 to 2016. This paper uses longitudinal logistic regression to analyze the diffusion of demise among dyadic terrorist groups and observe diffusion patterns among different ideologies, and different regime types in which terrorist groups reside. We found in general that diffusion of death occurs among terrorist groups. However, the diffusion process is alleviated for religiously driven terrorist groups. Also, we found that terrorist groups that reside in democracies tend to have a higher probability of group dismantling through diffusion as compared to other regime types. Interestingly, we observed that if allied terrorist groups reside in different regime types, diffusion does not impact the probability of ending for partnering terrorist group. |